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Salton Sea earthquake swarm 2020: Prediction for next week

August 10, 2020: A swarm of earthquakes beneath the Salton Sea began on August 10, 2020. The earthquake swarm of mostly minor intensities began shortly after 1:30 a.m. Monday morning, ranging in strength from 2.6 to 4.6, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

The largest earthquake that has occurred is a magnitude 4.6 at 8:56 AM PDT on August 10, 2020. There has been more than hundred earthquakes since 8:56 am PT with three quakes greater than magnitude 4.0.

According to the USGS, this earthquake and the associated swarm are located approximately 8 miles from the southern end of the San Andreas Fault. 

Salton Sea Earthquake Prediction

According to the USGS, there are three scenarios which describe possibilities of what could happen from 10 August to 18 August, 2020.

There is 80% chance that the earthquakes will continue but none of them  will be larger than magnitude 5.4

There is 18% chance that a larger earthquake with magnitude between 5.5 to 6.9 will occur within next seven days.

There is least likely 1% chance that a much larger earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher will occur within next seven days.

Related Post: California Earthquake Prediction: USGS says 8.0 earthquake more likely in next 30 years